Biases

To learn from mistakes, we have to overcome the psychological biases.

  • Self-attribution Bias: it is our habit of attributing good outcomes to our skill as investors; while blaming bad outcomes on something or somebody else.
  • Hind sight Bias: this simply refers to the idea that once we know the outcome we tend to think we know it all the time. Monday morning Quarter-backing.
  • ADHD investing. Today’s investors appear to have attention deficit hyperactivity disorder when it comes to their portfolio.
  • Action Bias: Greater fool’s theory.
  • Confirmatory Bias: Gathering evidence to support one’s position and oblivious of the opposing view points
  • Narrative Fallacy: Capitalizing hope. Not obvious with the benefit of hindsight.
  • Illusion of Control: The idea that if we can quantify risk then we can control it is one of the great fallacies of modern finance.
  • Self-serving Bias: Don’t ask the barber if you need a hair cut!
  • Inattention blindness: We simply do not expect to see what we are not looking for.

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